System dynamics is used to simulate the impact of feebates to encourag
e the sale of cleaner vehicles in southern California. With a feebate
system, fees would be imposed on dirty vehicles to finance rebates for
clean vehicles. The model is used to learn whether the State of Calif
ornia could operate a feebate system in a financially prudent manner.
I consider an example in which fees are imposed on conventional vehicl
es, and rebates are used to encourage the sale of electric vehicles. T
he simulations show that feebates can be controlled despite the many u
ncertainties in predicting the future sales of both conventional and e
lectric vehicles.