China is already the world's second largest producer of greenhouse gas
es, and its emissions will increase substantially during the coming ge
neration. Rapid economic expansion will need much higher inputs of pri
mary energy, and the continuing heavy reliance on coal will more than
double the recent CO2 emissions. Providing enough food for a populatio
n which is still growing at high absolute rates will require further i
ntensification of farming resulting in higher releases of CH4 and N2O.
Consequently, China will become the world's largest emitter of greenh
ouse gases perhaps even during the 2010s, but almost inevitably before
the year 2025.