Mi. Sheppard et al., CONTINENTAL-GLACIATION AND NUCLEAR-FUEL WASTE-DISPOSAL - CANADA APPROACH AND ASSESSMENT OF THE IMPACT ON NUCLIDE TRANSPORT THROUGH THE BIOSPHERE, Ecological modelling, 78(3), 1995, pp. 249-265
A concept for disposal of immobilized nuclear fuel waste in a vault mi
ned deep in stable plutonic rock of the Canadian Shield is being inves
tigated in Canada. Far in the future, when man-made and natural protec
tive barriers lose their integrity, radionuclides carried by groundwat
er may migrate from the vault to the biosphere. During this time, many
transitional processes will cause changes to the climate, hydrogeolog
y and surface features of the biosphere. Glaciation is the most severe
transitional process and its impacts on the disposal concept must be
assessed. Using a discrete-state approach, the effects of glaciation w
ere evaluated by performing separate time-independent radiological dos
e assessments of interglacial and cold interstadial states assuming th
at each state persists throughout the entire simulation period of 1000
00 years. We assume that humans will not inhabit a full glacial enviro
nment. One of the major glacial processes is increased runoff during m
elt. This should decrease nuclide concentrations and doses in the imme
diate discharge zone of the vault through flushing and dilution. Tempe
rature and moisture fluctuations will have only a minor impact on nucl
ide transport in soils and surface waters. Our calculations show that
it is unlikely that cold interstadial conditions will lead to substant
ially higher doses to humans resulting from radionuclides in the envir
onment than the current interglacial state.