Rf. Pohl et B. Gawlik, HINDSIGHT BIAS AND THE MISINFORMATION EFFECT - SEPARATING BLENDED RECOLLECTIONS FROM OTHER RECOLLECTION TYPES, Memory, 3(1), 1995, pp. 21-55
Questioning the presence of ''truly'' blended recollections, we invest
igated two cognitive phenomena: hindsight bias and the misinformation
effect. At first glance, both phenomena seem to result from the same i
nterference process, whereby the subsequent encoding of conflicting in
formation impairs the recall of earlier encoded (original) material. E
xperiment 1 compared both paradigms using numerical items as material:
hindsight as well as misinformation subjects revealed the same mean s
hift in their recollection of the original values. The additional anal
ysis of a multinomial model, however, suggested that blended recollect
ions occurred in the hindsight condition only. The misinformation effe
ct, on the other hand, appeared to be based on averaging across two di
fferent recollection types. Experiment 2 further investigated how the
memory-trace strength influences the likelihood for blended recollecti
ons to occur. In a misinformation procedure, one group of subjects rea
d the original information twice, another group thrice. Again, recolle
ctions were similarly shifted towards the misinformation in both group
s. But the multinomial model revealed that only the second group (with
a stronger memory representation of the original information) showed
blended recollections. Taken together, these results suggested that: (
1) a minimum memory-trace strength of the original information must be
met for blended recollections to occur; and (2) hindsight bias and th
e misinformation effect-though superficially similar-are induced by di
fferent cognitive processes.