A combined computational and theoretical method is developed to predic
t the equilibrium ring-chain distribution of the products of ring-open
ing metathesis polymerization (ROMP). In ring-chain equilibria, the fr
ee energy change of the reaction includes an entropic cost associated
with forming cyclic rather than linear products and an enthalpic cost
if ring strain is significant (i.e., for small rings); The entropy cha
nge is determined using statistical mechanics (based on the Jacobson-S
tockmayer theory). The enthalpy change is computed with a Monte Carlo
configurational search using molecular mechanics (MM3). Using the resu
lting equilibrium constants, the calculated distribution of cyclic and
linear products is in good agreement with experiment. To characterize
the polymerizability of cycloolefins, we compute the critical concent
ration [M](c,infinity), defined as the total monomer lost to cyclic pr
oducts.