Sn. Blair et al., CHANGES IN PHYSICAL-FITNESS AND ALL-CAUSE MORTALITY - A PROSPECTIVE-STUDY OF HEALTHY AND UNHEALTHY MEN, JAMA, the journal of the American Medical Association, 273(14), 1995, pp. 1093-1098
Objective.-To evaluate the relationship between changes in physical fi
tness and risk of mortality in men. Design.-Prospective study, with tw
o clinical examinations (mean internal between examinations, 4.9 years
) to assess change or lack of change in physical fitness as associated
with risk of mortality during follow-up after the subsequent examinat
ion (mean follow-up from subsequent examination, 5.1 years). Setting.-
Preventive medicine clinic. Study Participants.-Participants were 9777
men given two preventive medical examinations, each of which included
assessment of physical fitness by maximal exercise tests and evaluati
on of health status. Main Outcome Measures.-All-cause (n=223) and card
iovascular disease (n=87) mortality. Results.-The highest age-adjusted
all-cause death rate was observed in men who were unfit at both exami
nations (122.0/10000 man-years); the lowest death rate was in men who
were physically fit at both examinations (39.6/10000 man-years). Men w
ho improved from unfit to fit between the first and subsequent examina
tions had an age-adjusted death rate of 67.7/10 000 man-years. This is
a reduction in mortality risk of 44% (95% confidence internal, 25% to
59%) relative to men who remained unfit at both examinations, Improve
ment in fitness was associated With lower death rates after adjusting
for age, health status, and other risk factors of premature mortality,
For each minute increase in maximal treadmill time between examinatio
ns, there was a corresponding 7.9% (P=.001) decrease in risk of mortal
ity. Similar results were seen when the group was stratified by health
status, and for cardiovascular disease mortality. Conclusions.-Men wh
o maintained or improved adequate physical fitness were less likely to
die from all causes and from cardiovascular disease during follow-up
than persistently unfit men. Physicians should encourage unfit men to
improve their fitness by starting a physical activity program.