In this paper we consider the market-level impacts of factor-augmentin
g innovations designed to reduce the use of fertilizers and pesticides
, first within the context of a simple two-factor model, and then thro
ugh a simulation model of the U.S. corn market. In both models, the im
pacts depend on the output demand elasticity and input substitution el
asticities. The principal conclusion of the simulation analysis is tha
t the potential for new techniques to reduce the use of agricultural c
hemicals is limited. Capital-augmenting innovations would actually rai
se fertilizer and pesticide usage. Land-augmenting innovations would a
lso tend to increase pesticide usage.