Models for predicting the performance of multiplexed variable bit rate
video sources are important for engineering a network. However, model
s of a single source are also important for parameter negotiations and
call admittance algorithms. In this paper we propose to model a singl
e video source as a Markov renewal process whose states represent diff
erent bit rates. We also propose two novel goodness-of-fit metrics whi
ch are directly related to the specific performance aspects that we wa
nt to predict from the model. The first is a leaky bucket contour plot
which can be used to quantify the burstiness of any traffic type. The
second measure applies only to video traffic and measures how well th
e model can predict the compressed video quality.