FORECAST OF DAILY WATER LEVELS FOR LAKE KINNERET, ISRAEL

This paper presents a model for forecasting daily changes of water lev el in Lake Kinneret during flood periods. The model is based on the wa ter budget equation. its parameters are calibrated by multiple regress ion using inflow, outflow and rainfall for the preceding day. A correc tion factor which takes into account the errors of forecasts for the p receding two days is added to the model. Split-sample calibrations and applications yield results which are accurate to within 10 to 20 mm.