During 1990/91, rainfall was 70% below the long-term annual mean of 27
1 mm in the Steytlerville Karoo, a semiarid, small-stock ranching dist
rict of the south-eastern Cape. A drought severity index, that incorpo
rated monthly rainfall and monthly averages of maximum daily temperatu
re, showed that the deficit in plant-available moisture increased betw
een January 1990 and September 1991, when drought was broken by 99 mm
of rain. Following this unusual (P < 0.015) drought, perennial vegetat
ion cover decreased from 45% to 21%. Mortality was greater among Karoo
bushes (65%) than succulents (42%). Post-drought vegetation was domin
ated by grasses, forbs and the alien biennial Atriplex lindleyi, all o
f which emerged from soil-stored seed. Surviving shrub populations rec
overed slowly by post-drought seeding or rooting from branches. A chan
ge from Pentzia incana shrubland to grass and succulent dominance occu
rred within 30 months. Currently acceptable methods of estimating carr
ying capacity indicated that 30 months after the drought the capacity
of the rangeland to carry domestic livestock was still 60% below pre-d
rought levels for the region. Rodents, inconspicuous when the drought
ended, were very numerous in 1994 following summer rain. Carrying capa
city of ecotonal Karoo shrublands for herbivores and granivores appear
s to be dynamic. Quantifying and tracking such variability is a challe
nge for pastoralists and scientists alike.