DECADAL-TO-CENTENNIAL-SCALE CLIMATE VARIABILITY - INSIGHTS INTO THE RISE AND FALL OF THE GREAT-SALT-LAKE

We demonstrate connections between decadal and secular global climatic variations, and historical variations in the volume of the Great Salt Lake. The decadal variations correspond to a low-frequency shifting o f storm tracks which influence minter precipitation and explain nearly 18% of the interannual and longer-term variance in the record of mont hly volume change. The secular trend accounts for a more modest simila r to 1.5% of the variance.