IMMEDIATE PROGNOSIS OF PRIMARY INTRACEREBRAL HEMORRHAGE USING AN EASYMODEL FOR THE PREDICTION OF SURVIVAL

We reviewed the medical records and CT scans of 138 patients hospitali zed for spontaneous supratentorial hemorrhage and conservatively treat ed. Seventeen clinico-anamnestic variables and five CT desumed finding s were collected. Using univariate analysis we found eight significant predictors of 30-day mortality: intraventricular spread (IVS) of bloo d, volume of the hemorrhage, Glasgow Coma Scale (CCS) score, midline s hift, hyperglycemia, pupillary abnormalities, limb paresis and gaze de viation. With multivariate logistic regression analysis we found three independent predictors of 30-day mortality: IVS of blood, volume of t he hemorrhage and GCS score. Using these three independent variables w e developed an easy model which allows an immediate estimate of the pr obability of survival with a high degree of sensitivity and specificit y.