Using 30 years of Northern Hemisphere geopotential data, from 1000 to
10 hPa, the link between three fundamental modes of tropospheric varia
bility [the Pacific/North America (PNA), Western Pacific Oscillation (
WPO), and Tropical/Northern Hemisphere (TNH) patterns] and the extratr
opical wintertime northern stratospheric circulation is explored. Thes
e modes of variability are known to be influenced by El Nino/Southern
Oscillation (ENSO) and may provide a mechanism for ENSO to influence i
nterannual variability of the stratospheric flow. Aside from any link
to ENSO, these modes may be important in providing tropospheric wave f
orcing to the stratosphere. These modes may be characterized by three
of the leading rotated empirical orthogonal functions of the wintertim
e 500-hPa height field, An index of the amplitude of each of the modes
is given by time series of principal components of that mode. By exam
ining composites of years with high-index values minus years with low-
index Values it is shown that the zonal-mean stratospheric wind is not
significantly influenced by any of the three tropospheric modes. Howe
ver, the variability of these tropospheric modes appears to be associa
ted with variations of stratospheric amplitudes of geopotential waves
1 and 2. A comparison is made between the stratospheric influence of t
he equatorial quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) and the three troposphe
ric modes during the December-February period. The influence from the
QBO is weak in the troposphere and strongest in the stratosphere. The
tropospheric modes' influence is strongest in the troposphere. At 50 h
Pa, the QBO's influence is a strong modulation of the strength of the
polar night jet and, in terms of geopotential height, is about twice t
hat of the PNA, WPO, or TNH modes. The effect of the QBO on the strato
spheric climate appears to be considerably larger than that from the t
hree tropospheric modes.