A. Hallstrom et al., RELATIONS BETWEEN HEART-FAILURE, EJECTION FRACTION, ARRHYTHMIA SUPPRESSION AND MORTALITY - ANALYSIS OF THE CARDIAC-ARRHYTHMIA SUPPRESSION TRIAL, Journal of the American College of Cardiology, 25(6), 1995, pp. 1250-1257
Objectives. We studied the relations between heart failure, ejection f
raction, arrhythmia suppression and mortality. Background. Both left v
entricular ejection fraction and functional class of heart failure are
strongly associated with mortality after acute myocardial infarction.
Both are also related to the presence of ventricular arrhythmias and
have been identified as factors related to the ability to suppress ven
tricular arrhythmias. Little has been reported about the relations bet
ween these two factors and arrhythmia suppression or mortality. Method
s. Baseline data from the Cardiac Arrhythmia Suppression Trial were us
ed to define several categories of heart failure and to relate both th
e resulting categories and ejection fraction to arrhythmia suppression
and mortality using logistic and survival regression analytic methodo
logies. Results. Regardless of the prospective baseline definition of
heart failure used, the data consistently showed that heart failure wa
s a more powerful predictor of subsequent congestive heart failure eve
nts and arrhythmia suppression and was equally powerful in predicting
death. However, each variable provided incremental information when in
cluded in the prediction model. Heart failure and ejection fraction ap
peared to be independent predictors of death. Interactions were observ
ed: A low ejection fraction was more predictive of failure of arrhythm
ia suppression in patients with than without evidence of heart failure
before or at baseline; a low ejection fraction was more predictive of
subsequent congestive heart failure events in patients without than w
ith evidence of heart failure before or at baseline. Conclusions. Alth
ough heart failure as a prognostic feature appears to be somewhat supe
rior to ejection fraction, both are powerful predictors of arrhythmia
suppression and cardiac events in patients with ventricular arrhythmia
after myocardial infarction. Each provides incremental prediction.