K. Christensen et al., MORTALITY AMONG TWINS AFTER AGE-6 - FETAL ORIGINS HYPOTHESIS VERSUS TWIN METHOD, BMJ. British medical journal, 310(6977), 1995, pp. 432-436
Objective-To test the validity of the fetal origins hypothesis and the
classic twin method. Design-Follow up study of pairs of same twins in
which both twins survived to age 6. Setting-Denmark. Subjects-8495 tw
in individuals born 1870-1900, followed through to 31 December 1991. M
ain outcome measures-Mortality calculated on a cohort basis, Results-M
ortality among twins and the general population was not significantly
different except among females aged 60-89, in whom mortality among twi
ns was 1.14 times (SE 0.03) higher than in the general population, Mor
tality among female dizygotic twins was 1.77 times (0.18) higher than
among monozygotic twins at age 30.59. Otherwise, mortality for monozyg
otic and dizygotic twins did not consistently differ after age 6. Conc
lusion-According to the fetal origins hypothesis the risk of adult mor
bidity and mortality is heightened by retardation in intrauterine grow
th. Twins, and in particular monozygotic twins, experience growth reta
rdation in utero. The findings in the present study suggest that the f
etal origins hypothesis is not true for the retardation in intrauterin
e growth experienced by twins. Furthermore, the data are inconsistent
with the underlying assumption of a recent claim that the classic twin
method is invalid for studies of adult diseases. The present study is
, however, based on the one third of all pairs of twins in which both
twins survived to age 6. The possible impact of this selection can be
evaluated in future studies of cohorts of younger twins with lower per
inatal and infant mortality.