PROGNOSTIC FACTORS FOR SUCCESSFUL EXPECTANT MANAGEMENT OF ECTOPIC PREGNANCY

Citation
D. Trio et al., PROGNOSTIC FACTORS FOR SUCCESSFUL EXPECTANT MANAGEMENT OF ECTOPIC PREGNANCY, Fertility and sterility, 63(3), 1995, pp. 469-472
Citations number
12
Categorie Soggetti
Obsetric & Gynecology
Journal title
ISSN journal
00150282
Volume
63
Issue
3
Year of publication
1995
Pages
469 - 472
Database
ISI
SICI code
0015-0282(1995)63:3<469:PFFSEM>2.0.ZU;2-Z
Abstract
Objective: To determine the independent ability of initial hCG titers, trend of hCG titers, and ultrasonographic findings in the prediction of successful expectant management in ectopic pregnancy (EP). Design: Case-control study. Setting: University hospital. Patients: Sixty-seve n patients with EP managed expectantly, 49 of whom (73%) had a spontan eous resolution, whereas 3 (5%) underwent medical treatment, and 15 (2 2%) eventually underwent surgical treatment. Results: Univariate analy sis showed that the initial hCG titer, the trend in hCG titers between first and second sample, and ultrasonographic visualization of absenc e of an ectopic gestational sac were significant predictors of a succe ssful expectant management. Using receiver operating characteristic cu rve analysis, an hCG titer < 1,000 mIU/mL was chosen as the optimal cu toff for this prediction, identifying 88% of women destined to have sp ontaneous resolution of the EP. Multivariate analysis showed that both initial hCG titer and trend in hCG titers but not ultrasonographic vi sualization of an ectopic gestational sac were independent predictors of a successful or failed expectant management. Conclusion: Expectant management of EP is successful in the majority of patients with initia l hCG titer < 1,000 mIU/mL.