Lr. Atkeson et Rw. Partin, ECONOMIC AND REFERENDUM VOTING - A COMPARISON OF GUBERNATORIAL AND SENATORIAL ELECTIONS, The American political science review, 89(1), 1995, pp. 99-107
We compare vote choice in senate and gubernatorial elections from 1986
and 1990 with two retrospective voting hypotheses: the national refer
endum hypothesis and an economic retrospective hypothesis. Despite the
similarities between the office of U.S. senator and governor (same co
nstituency, high levels of campaign spending, highly visible candidate
s, etc.), we find that different types of retrospective evaluations ar
e used with respect to vote choice. As members of the national legisla
tive branch, senators' fortunes are linked to the success or failures
of the president. In contrast, governors, as state executives, are hel
d accountable for perceived state economic conditions, while senators
escape unscathed from the same general economic evaluations. These fin
dings shed some light on the nature of vote choice in a political syst
em complicated by federalism and separation of powers.