Oa. Anzala et al., RAPID PROGRESSION TO DISEASE IN AFRICAN SEX WORKERS WITH HUMAN-IMMUNODEFICIENCY-VIRUS TYPE-1 INFECTION, The Journal of infectious diseases, 171(3), 1995, pp. 686-689
From a cohort of female sex workers in Nairobi, Kenya, 163 women were
observed to seroconvert to human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1)
and followed to study progression to HIV-1-related disease. The effec
t of several covariables on disease progression was studied using a We
ibull proportional hazards model. The Weibull survival model was fitte
d to the observed incubation times. Estimates of the median duration t
o CDC stage IV-A and IV-C disease were 3.5 and 4.4 years, respectively
. Condom use before seroconversion was associated with a reduced risk
of CDC stage IV-A disease (relative risk = .64, P < .05). The incubati
on time of HIV-1-related disease is extremely short in this population
.