Inherited retinal dystrophies are important causes of incurable blindn
ess in developed countries, Advances in molecular genetics promise sig
nificant improvements in their management. Immediate benefits of prese
nt knowledge are presymptomatic and prenatal diagnosis in selected cas
es, To study the predictive power of these techniques a simulated gene
tic risk estimation was undertaken in a cone-rod retinal dystrophy ped
igree known to be linked to chromosome 19. Using data on five fully in
formative, flanking DNA markers, phenotype was correctly assigned with
only a 2% probability of error, If the two most closely linked marker
s were found to be uninformative, this error probability remained unch
anged, Using genetic risk calculations and direct mutation detection m
any retinal dystrophies could now be identified by prenatal diagnosis.