Je. Murray, DETERMINANTS OF MEMBERSHIP LEVELS AND DURATION IN A SHAKER COMMUNE, 1780-1880, Journal for the scientific study of religion, 34(1), 1995, pp. 35-48
Membership levels in Shaker communes and commitment of individual Shak
ers were subject to religious and ether forces. Population data in man
uscripts from an autonomous subunit of one Shaker community provide en
trance and exit dates and limited information on individual members, a
nd levels of overall population. It is proposed that the Shakers attra
cted ever less well prepared entrants, and were unable to solve the se
cond-generation problem of convincing young members to persist in the
sect. Over time, entrants were ever more likely to have been urban-bor
n, and urban born individuals were more likely to apostatize in the ne
xt year than the rural born. The longer members spent in childhood as
Shakers the sooner they apostatized. Communities may have acted as a s
helter for those especially affected by economic difficulties. Men who
joined during recessionary periods were more likely to apostatize soo
n than those who joined in boom times, and overall levels of populatio
n rose in times of economic recession.