C-erbB-2 gene amplification and protein overexpression have been impli
cated as prognostic markers for patients with recurrent progressive bl
adder tumors, This event has been investigated as a potential diagnost
ic indicator in archival samples of transitional cell carcinoma of the
bladder. Two hundred thirty-six bladder tumors from 89 patients with
recurrent disease (mean follow-up, 4 years), 20 tumors from patients w
ith no evidence of bladder tumor recurrence (mean follow-up, 7 years)
and 10 normal bladder controls (patients with no history of transition
al cell carcinoma) were studied, A differential PCR was used to provid
e a semiquantitative estimate of C-erbB-2 gene amplification. Protein
overexpression was assessed immunohistochemically. Sixteen of 89 patie
nts with recurrent disease had evidence of C-erbB-2 gene amplification
, No C-erbB-2 gene amplification was seen in the nonrecurrent tumors o
r normal bladder controls. Of the 89 patients with recurrent bladder t
umors, 43 had evidence of progressive disease, and of these, 14 patien
ts exhibited C-erbB-2 gene amplification, indicating a strong associat
ion with gene amplification and progressive disease (P < 0.0005), Gene
amplification in these patients was seen only after disease progressi
on had occurred, Protein overexpression was seen in 50% of patients wi
th recurrent and 45% of patients with nonrecurrent disease, No protein
overexpression was seen in normal controls, Protein overexpression co
uld not be linked to disease progression. C-erbB-2 gene amplification
and protein overexpression were of predictive value in multivariate an
alysis for overall bladder cancer death; however stage and grade remai
ned the most important independent prognostic variables. C-erbB-2 gene
amplification and protein overexpression were of no value as independ
ent markers for the prediction of disease recurrence or progression. I
t appears from these results that the role of C-erbB-2 as a diagnostic
marker may far outweigh its usefulness as a prognostic indicator.