Km. Leyden et Sa. Borrelli, THE EFFECT OF STATE ECONOMIC-CONDITIONS ON GUBERNATORIAL ELECTIONS - DOES UNIFIED GOVERNMENT MAKE A DIFFERENCE, Political research quarterly, 48(2), 1995, pp. 275-290
This research addresses two questions of current interest in American
politics: Does divided government reduce accountability? Do voters rew
ard or punish incumbent governors and/or their parties on the basis of
state economic performance? A multivariate pooled cross-sectional tim
e-series analysis of aggregate election outcomes from 1972-91 in ferry
-three states reveals that the effect of state unemployment on the inc
umbent gubernatorial party's vote percentage is greatly enhanced when
the governor's party controls both chambers of the stare legislature T
his evidence is consistent with the claim made by responsible party th
eorists that voters are more able and/or willing to reward or punish a
political party when that party's responsibility for government perfo
rmance is complete.