J. Isham et al., DOES PARTICIPATION IMPROVE PERFORMANCE - ESTABLISHING CAUSALITY WITH SUBJECTIVE DATA, The World Bank economic review, 9(2), 1995, pp. 175-200
Data from 121 diverse rural water projects provide strong statistical
findings that increasing beneficiary participation directly causes bet
ter project outcomes. Three possible econometric objections to these f
indings are addressed and answered. The subjective nature of the data
does not preclude valid, cardinal measures of participation appropriat
e for statistical analysis. ''Halo effects'-changes in the measurement
of one variable because of the observed state of another variable-do
not seem to induce a strong upward bias in the measurement of particip
ation or project performance. Reverse causation is unlikely: estimatio
n using instrumental variables, data on project timing, and documentat
ion of case studies support the cause-effect relation between particip
ation and better project performance.