Objective: The purposes of this study were to evaluate the long-term s
tability of a seasonal pattern of recurrent depression, identify possi
ble factors associated with alteration of the seasonal pattern, and de
termine whether atypical vegetative symptoms during early seasonal dep
ressive episodes predict future seasonal relapses. Method: The subject
s were 41 patients satisfying the criteria used in the Japanese multic
enter study of seasonal affective disorder who were consistently treat
ed at the same outpatient clinic. Their longitudinal courses were eval
uated by using case records and the Schedule for Affective Disorder an
d Schizophrenin-Lifetime Version; the mean follow-up period was 10.4 y
ears. Results: Nine subjects (22.0%) consistently showed a fall-winter
pattern of recurrence throughout follow-up. Seventeen patients with a
n initial fall-winter pattern subsequently tended to shift seasons or
show less seasonality. This alteration in pattern was possibly associa
ted with antidepressant therapy or life events. Eleven patients with a
n initial diagnosis of nonseasonal affective disorder subsequently dev
eloped seasonal affective disorder; no specific factors were associate
d with this change. Atypical vegetative symptoms were significantly mo
re common in patients with stable seasonal patterns of recurrence than
in those who lost seasonality. Conclusions: Although seasonal affecti
ve disorder appeared to be altered by antidepressant treatment, the pr
esence of a core group of patients with a consistent seasonal pattern
of recurrent depression suggests the validity of seasonal affective di
sorder as a distinct subtype of recurrent affective illness. The findi
ngs also suggest that atypical vegetative symptoms during early season
al depressive episodes predict the subsequent seasonality of depressio
n.