Wy. Tan et Z. Xiang, A STOCHASTIC-MODEL FOR THE HIV EPIDEMIC IN HOMOSEXUAL POPULATIONS INVOLVING AGE AND RACE, Mathematical and computer modelling, 24(12), 1996, pp. 67-105
In this paper, we derive a stochastic model for the HIV epidemic in ho
mosexual populations involving age and race. To account for effects of
different mixing patterns, a low risk selection rule is introduced. T
he model is then formulated in terms of chain multinomial distribution
s by means of which the means are derived. Some simulation studies by
computer indicate clearly that age and race have a significant impact
on the HIV epidemic.