An analytical model is developed to predict the annual variation of so
il surface temperature from readily available weather data and soil th
ermal properties. The time variation is approximated by a first harmon
ic function characterized by an average an amplitude, and a phase lag.
A parametric analysis is presented to determine the effect of various
factors such as evaporation, soil absorptivity and soil convective pr
operties on soil surface temperature. A comparison of the model predic
tions with experimental data is presented. The comparative analysis in
dicates that the simplified model predicts soil surface temperatures w
ithin ten percent of measured data for five locations.