Km. Kelm et al., THE RESPONSE OF CAPITAL-MARKETS TO THE RESEARCH-AND-DEVELOPMENT PROCESS, Technological forecasting & social change, 49(1), 1995, pp. 75-88
We examine the response of the capital markets to research and develop
ment (R&D) project announcements by firms along three stages of the R&
D process: initiation, continuation, and new-product introduction. Usi
ng event study methodology, conventional in financial economics and st
rategic management, we examined 525 R&D project announcements over the
1977-1989 period. Our analysis suggests that investors respond favora
bly to R&D announcements during the continuation and new-product intro
duction stages. In the biotechnology industry, however, the greatest r
esponse occurred in the initiation and continuation stages. Significan
t gains in wealth were observed for relatively smaller firms, and in t
he case of continuation announcements when R&D was viewed as a way of
stimulating growth. After accounting for firm size and the effect of t
he biotechnology industry, the frequency of R&D announcements by firms
does not lead to greater stock market effects. Our data paint a pictu
re of rational and sophisticated investors who understand and respond
to R&D project announcements-a portrait that stands in stark contrast
to the current criticisms of a myopic stock market.