URBANIZATION, ENERGY USE AND GREENHOUSE EFFECTS IN ECONOMIC-DEVELOPMENT - RESULTS FROM A CROSS-NATIONAL-STUDY OF DEVELOPING-COUNTRIES

This paper seeks an exploratory assessment greenhouse nomic developmen t in general and urbanization in particular, especially insofar as the y relate to changing patterns of energy use. First, the nature of the relationship between urbanization and increased resource use is elabor ated upon, and the impact of the development transition upon levels of is empirically multiple regression energy consumption analysed in a f ramework, using cross-national variations in urbanization and other de velopment indicators to estimate a fixed-effects model of the determin ants of energy usage. The same set of hypothesized determinants is the n used to measure their contribution to estimated greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions for the full set of countries. Next, we focus upon the subs ample of developing countries to study the effects of urbanization upo n their evolving profiles of energy use, disaggregated by final use se ctor and fuel type, and estimate the magnitude of the greenhouse effec ts attributable to each of these component fuel uses. Finally, we pres ent some of the implications of the results for policies toward urbani zation and energy strategies for developing countries in the context o f global environmental management imperatives.