An analysis of composite, seasonal rainfall anomalies in Hawaii shows
that deficient rainfall tends to occur frequently in winter and spring
of the year following an El Nino. The reliability of the El Nino comp
osite has been tested using a Monte Carlo simulation technique. Upper-
air circulation patterns during the recent three El Nino events are di
scussed in relation to drought winters in Hawaii. The more eastward el
ongated subtropical jet stream in the North Pacific and the thermally
induced local Hadley circulation in the central North Pacific, charact
eristics of El Nino winters, are unfavorable for rainfall in Hawaii.