Sl. Thompson et D. Pollard, A GLOBAL CLIMATE MODEL (GENESIS) WITH A LAND-SURFACE TRANSFER SCHEME (LSX) .2. CO2 SENSITIVITY, Journal of climate, 8(5), 1995, pp. 1104-1121
The sensitivity of the equilibrium climate to doubled atmospheric CO2
is investigated using the GENESIS global climate model version 1.02. T
he atmospheric general circulation model is a heavily modified version
of the NCAR CCM1 and is coupled to a multicanopy land-surface model(L
SX); multilayer models of soil, snow, and sea ice; and a slab ocean mi
xed layer. Features that are relatively new in CO2 sensitivity studies
include explicit subgrid convective plumes, PBL mixing a diurnal cycl
e, a complex land-surface model, sea ice dynamics, and semi-Lagrangian
transport of water vapor. The global annual surface-air warming in th
e model is 2.1 degrees C, with global precipitation increasing by 3.3%
. Over mast land areas, most of the changes in precipitation are insig
nificant at the 5% level compared to interannual variability. Decrease
s in soil moisture in summer are not as large as in most previous mode
ls and only occur poleward of similar to 55 degrees N in Siberia, nort
hern Canada,and Alaska. Sea ice area in September recedes by 62% in th
e Arctic and by 43% in the Antarctic. The area of Northern Hemispheric
permafrost decreases by 48%, while the the total area of Northern Hem
ispheric snowcover in January decreases by only 13%. The effects of se
veral modifications to the model physics are described. Replacing LSX
and the multilayer soil with a single-layer bucket model causes little
change to CO2 sensitivities on global scales, and the regions of summ
er drying in northern high latitudes are reproduced, although with som
ewhat greater amplitude. Compared to convective adjustment, penetrativ
e plume convection increases the tropical Hadley Cell response but dec
reases the global warming slightly by 0.1 degrees to 0.3 degrees, cont
rary to several previous GCM studies in which penetrative convection w
as associated with greater CO2 warming. Similarly, the use of a cruder
parameterization for cloud amount changes the local patterns of cloud
response but has slight effect on the global warming. The authors dis
cuss implications of the greater global warming (3.2 degrees C) found
in an earlier version of the model and suggest that it was due to more
detailed interactions that no longer occur in the current version.