Pj. Roebber, CLIMATE VARIABILITY IN A LOW-ORDER COUPLED ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN MODEL, Tellus. Series A, Dynamic meteorology and oceanography, 47(4), 1995, pp. 473-494
The dynamical behavior of the climate system is investigated through t
he use of a low-order coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation mod
el. The goal is to gain some qualitative understanding of how non-line
ar interactions between the individual system components may affect th
e climate. Both the atmosphere and ocean models are fully dynamic: the
former is defined by 3 ordinary differential equations derived from a
truncated Fourier series expansion of the mean and perturbation compo
nents of the quasi-geostrophic potential vorticity equation, while the
latter is specified by 6 ordinary differential equations representing
the time-dependent variations of ocean temperature and salinity in a
3-box model of the North Atlantic. Despite the existence of 2 basic eq
uilibrium ocean model responses to perpetual atmospheric conditions, e
quilibrium states are never attained in the coupled system within 1000
0 years of integration; the deep ocean now continually adjusts to the
atmospheric regime changes associated with particular ocean circulatio
ns, which leads to new circulations and new atmospheric regimes. Low-f
requency quasi-periodic oscillations about a single state of the therm
ohaline circulation result from an advective-diffusive process, modula
ted by the correlation of the atmospheric behavior with the phase of t
he ocean cycle. The climate is strongly effected by interactions with
the ocean, leading to distinct atmospheric patterns for different phas
es in the oscillations, and a conversion of some of the high-frequency
atmospheric signal to lower frequencies. This conversion also results
in a measurable ocean response at high Frequencies. Furthermore, owin
g to the richness of the atmospheric response to small modifications i
n the meridional and zonal gradients in diabatic heating, even modest
adjustments in the ocean circulation resulting from interactions with
the high-frequency atmospheric component can also lead to climate chan
ge over relatively short time periods. The results of the model are ap
plied to recent deductions of climate variability in the North Atlanti
c, obtained From Greenland ice-cores.