Background. Gastric epithelial dysplasia (GED) in metaplastic mucosa i
s considered the most advanced preinvasive lesion in the multistep mor
phogenesis of intestinal-type gastric cancer (GC). The rate of GED's e
volution into GC is still under debate and probably is related to path
ologic and clinical parameters other than the dysplasia itself. The ai
m of this study was to evaluate whether clinical aspects (sex and age)
and/or morphologic variables (GED grade, coexisting atrophic gastriti
s) are relevant to the outcome of dysplasia, with a view toward initia
ting the establishment of a rational follow-up protocol for practical
GED management. Methods. Ninety-three patients harboring GED (G1: 56,
G2:34, G3:18) were followed for more than 12 months according to a pre
viously-agreed protocol. Regression, progression, or evolution into GC
were detected for each grade of GED. Multivariate analysis was used t
o check the independence of clinical and pathologic variables in the p
rogression of GED into more severe dysplastic lesions and/or as risk f
actors for evolution into GC, Results. Age, male sex, GED grade and gr
ade of coexisting atrophic gastritis proved independent risk factors f
or GED progression, with no significant interactions. Only GED grade (
G2 and G3) was significantly associated with carcinomatous evolution.
In G1-GED, age and the grade of coexisting atrophy proved to be indepe
ndent risk factors for carcinomatous evolution. Conclusions. In G1-GED
, more stringent follow-up should be recommended for older patients wi
th coexisting high grade atrophic gastritis; stringent follow-up is al
ways mandatory for G2-GED; and a surgical approach is justified in G3-
GED.