E. Pergament et al., ADVERSE PREGNANCY OUTCOME AFTER A FALSE-POSITIVE SCREEN FOR DOWN-SYNDROME USING MULTIPLE MARKERS, Obstetrics and gynecology, 86(2), 1995, pp. 255-258
Objective: To assess the relative risk of an adverse pregnancy outcome
in women whose multiple-marker screening (maternal serum alpha-fetopr
otein [MSAFP], unconjugated estriol [E3], and hCG levels, and age) ind
icating an increased risk for Down syndrome (more than 1:250) was not
confirmed by amniocentesis. Methods: Fifty-eight women with false-posi
tive screens for Down syndrome were matched with a control group of 11
6 women whose screens indicated a risk for Down syndrome of less than
1:250. The risk for adverse pregnancy outcome was compared for the two
groups, and the roles of MSAFP, unconjugated E3, and hCG as predictor
s of adverse pregnancy outcome were determined. Results: Women with fa
lse-positive screens for Down syndrome were significantly different fr
om their matched controls in the incidence of preterm delivery (20.6 v
ersus 8.6%, respectively), preeclampsia (6.9 versus 0%), small for ges
tational age newborns (5.2 versus 0%), and fetal demise after 20 weeks
' gestation (5.2 versus 0%). An adverse outcome occurred in 19 of 58 p
regnancies (32.8%) in the study group and in 14 of 116 matched control
pregnancies (12%) (odds ratio EOR] 3.5, 95% confidence interval [CI]
1.6-7.8; P < .01). Unconjugated E3 of 0.75 multiples of the mean (MoM)
or less was significantly associated with adverse pregnancy outcome a
fter controlling for the effects of MSAFP and hCG (OR 2.5, 95% CI 1.13
-5.55; P < .02). Conclusion: One in three women with a false-positive
screen for Down syndrome may experience an adverse pregnancy outcome.
In this study, unconjugated E3 of 0.75 MoM or less appeared to be a be
tter predictor of adverse pregnancy outcome than were MSAFP and hCG le
vels.