This paper attempts to show that convergence or divergence in the Euro
pean Union (EU) will be influenced by developments in the periphery of
Europe to a considerable extent, although the core situation cannot b
e ignored. In essence, therefore, it is the relationship between core
and periphery that will determine the future of the EU. The main thesi
s of this study is that the EU economic position is such that divergen
ce is more likely to occur than convergence. The focus of the analysis
is what has come to be known as ''Peripheral Fordism'', which enables
us to suggest that periphery prospects for economic development are p
redicated upon substantial expansion of their industrial sectors based
on indigenous forces. It is therefore the existing institutional stru
cture within the EU that poses obstacles to convergence.