This study examined the development of baserate estimation skills for
everyday social events and attitudes. Subjects in grades one, three, a
nd six responded to questions concerning their own rates of behavior a
nd attitudes, and their estimates of baserates of behaviors and attitu
des for their classmates. The findings indicate a general increase in
accuracy for the estimation of baserates throughout the elementary sch
ool years. In addition, younger subjects were less likely to make simi
lar estimates for themselves and their classmates than were older resp
ondents. Developmental changes in estimation accuracy are discussed in
relation to task content, use of the response scale, correspondence b
etween self-reports and estimates, and sample variability.