Jr. Gyakum et al., FIRST COMPARE WORKSHOP - 3-5 OCTOBER 1994, MONTREAL, QUEBEC, CANADA, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 76(7), 1995, pp. 1209-1218
The first COMPARE (Comparison of Mesoscale Prediction and Research Exp
eriments) workshop was held in Montreal, Quebec, Canada, from 3 to 5 O
ctober 1994 and was cosponsored by Environment Canada and the World Me
teorological Organization. The COMPARE project is an international mes
oscale modeling intercomparison effort that aims to propose and perfor
m mesoscale model and data assimilation intercomparison experiments, t
o identify important issues of mesoscale research and prediction that
may be addressed by numerical experimentation, and to gradually establ
ish a test bed of interesting and challenging mesoscale cases. The wor
kshop objectives were to discuss the results of the first case, to com
plete the planning for the second case, and to discuss possible future
cases and activities. The first case is a typical explosive marine cy
clogenesis event drawn from the concurrent Canadian Atlantic Storms Pr
ogram and the Genesis of Atlantic Lows Experiment. Twelve groups from
seven countries performed a controlled set of horizontal and vertical
resolution experiments using the provided reanalyses. The resulting fo
recasts were objectively verified, and an evaluation study was underta
ken. Each participating group summarized its results, and preliminary
conclusions from the evaluation study were presented and discussed. Mo
st models tended to underestimate the deepening of the secondary low a
nd to position it too far westward. Forecasts generally improved with
horizontal resolution but were relatively insensitive to higher vertic
al resolution. The upper-level dynamics are important at the initiatio
n of the storm, whereas surface fluxes contribute significantly to its
later intensification. Follow-up work on the first case includes furt
her experimentation and publication of an in-depth evaluation paper. T
he second case is drawn from the Pyrenees Experiment, a field experime
nt to better understand, model, and predict mountain wave phenomena. A
''straw man'' experimental design was proposed and refined, and a det
ailed document is now available. A workshop will be held in Toulouse,
France, to discuss the results of participating groups. Several other
possible cases and activities were also presented and discussed. A cas
e drawn from Tropical Cyclone Motion 1990, a field experiment to impro
ve the basic understanding of tropical cyclone motion in the western N
orth Pacific, is the most promising candidate for the third case. The
envisaged time frame would lead to a workshop in 1997. A proposal was
also made for a large-scale westerly wind burst case drawn from the Tr
opical Ocean Global Atmosphere-Coupled Ocean Atmosphere Response Exper
iment, but a sponsoring center remains to be identified. A FASTEX (Fro
nts and Atlantic Storm Tracks Experiment) case would be a prime candid
ate for a future mesoscale data assimilation and forecast intercompari
son. FASTEX is a planned field experiment to understand end-of-storm-t
rack cyclogenesis, the role of midlatitude stormtrack cloud systems wi
thin the climate system, and stratosphere-troposphere exchange in trop
opause folds. A further possible activity would be a short-range mesos
cale ensemble forecast intercomparison.