In-hospital management of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest is complicate
d by uncertainty about prognosis and the need to identify markers of a
dverse outcome in individuals surviving initial resuscitation. We soug
ht to identify factors that predict in-hospital death among patients w
ho initially survive out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. We investigated 3
46 consecutive cases of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest received by a s
ingle centre in Edinburgh, UK (270 cases examined retrospectively, 76
prospectively). Of the retrospective cohort, 246 cases were thought to
be of cardiac origin. There were associations between in-hospital mor
tality and pre-arrest variables, resuscitation variables, and factors
measured during admission. Crew-witnessed arrests were associated with
low mortality; arrest rhythm (p<0.001), resuscitation by a health pro
fessional (p<0.05), conscious level on admission (p<0.001), and requir
ement for ventilaton (p<0.05) independently predicted in-hospital mort
ality. A weighted prognostic scoring system based on three of these va
riables accurately predicted the likelihood of in-hospital death in th
e prospective test group. Further assessment of conscious level during
admission with the Glasgow coma score predicted mortality rates in th
e study population, but coma did not predict a hopeless prognosis in i
ndividual cases unless it persisted for 72 h or more. Accurate prognos
tic assessment of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survivors can be made
from information available on admission. Of factors that independentl
y predicted outcome, the skill of the resuscitator is most readily mod
ified. This suggests that public training in resuscitation may reduce
mortality rates.