Background: Advocates of preoperative autologous blood donation (PABD)
often fail to consider the needs of individual patients and the effec
ts of donation on hematocrit. Mathematical modeling is used here to an
alyze PABD. Study Design and Methods: A model of PABD was constructed
to simulate the transfusion of red cells once a predetermined minimum
hematocrit was reached. Preoperatively deposited units not needed to m
aintain a hematocrit at this level were not transfused. Final hematocr
its were compared to the hematocrit that would be expected if the pati
ent had not donated blood for his or her own operative use. Results: F
or many patients, particularly those with normal initial hematocrits,
large estimated blood losses must occur before the minimum hematocrit
is reached. It is also known that patients donating multiple units typ
ically cannot maintain their baseline hematocrit. In such cases, for b
lood losses of any volume, the final hematocrit was lower if units wer
e collected preoperatively and transfusion did not occur, Preoperative
ly donating patients are more likely to be transfused earlier and more
frequently than nondonating patients. Derived figures, based on indiv
idual patient values, help predict which patients will benefit most fr
om PABD. Conclusion: PABD may actually lead to decreased postoperative
hematocrits (with enhanced risk of ischemia) and otherwise unnecessar
y transfusions.