J. Mark et al., A CLIMATOLOGY OF THE WARM-SEASON GREAT-PLAINS LOW-LEVEL JET USING WIND PROFILER OBSERVATIONS, Weather and forecasting, 10(3), 1995, pp. 576-591
Hourly observations from the Wind Profiler Demonstration Network durin
g the warm season months of 1991 and 1992 were used to develop a clima
tology of the low-level jet (LLJ) over the Great Plains of the central
United States. The maximum overall frequency of LLJ occurrence was in
the southern part of the Great Plains, while the maximum frequency of
the stronger LLJs extended farther north and east (Kansas through Neb
raska). The frequency of occurrence for the weakest LLJs exhibited lit
tle diurnal variation. In contrast, the strongest jets were about six
times more likely to occur within a few hours of local midnight than d
uring the day. Southerly wind events that did not satisfy the criteria
for low-level jets (i.e., those that did not include the low-level lo
cal maximum of the wind speed profile) showed comparatively little diu
rnal variability regardless of speed. Analysis of the synoptic pattern
s associated with LU occurrence showed that the LW was promoted by the
warm sector of an extratropical cyclone and suppressed by a subtropic
al ridge or polar high. These relationships were most pronounced for t
he strongest jets. Similar relations to the synoptic pattern also were
found for the non-LLJ southerly wind events. A maximum of LLJ frequen
cy occurred in September. This seasonal maximum apparently is due in p
art to a greater frequency of synoptic patterns that are conducive to
the LLJ, possibly in combination with enhanced boundary-layer forcing
attributable to a regional decrease in soil moisture. The mean LU dura
tion was about 4 h for the weak jets and 2 h for the strongest jets. T
his implies that twice-daily radiosonde observations will fail to dete
ct many LLJ events and that the strongest jets are especially likely t
o be missed. Such concerns are especially important in light of our fi
nding that southerly LLJs represented about one-half of all occurrence
s of strong, southerly low-level winds over the region. The inability
of the conventional network to detect strong LLJs points to the utilit
y of the profilers in forecasting severe weather and implies that hydr
ologic budgets computed from conventional radiosonde data are likely t
o underestimate the atmospheric flux of water vapor over the central U
nited States.