Germplasm from the spring wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) breeding progra
m at the International Center for Improvement of Maize and Wheat (CIMM
YT) has had a major impact on the yield of irrigated spring wheats in
most developing countries in the past 30 yr. The rate and nature of yi
eld potential progress in this germplasm was measured comparing eight
outstanding short cultivars released in northwest Mexico between 1962
and 1988. They were grown under irrigation and optimal management, inc
luding disease and lodging protection, in each of six winter growing s
easons (1989-1990 to 1994-1995) at the CIANO (Centro de Investigacione
s Agricolas del Noroeste) experiment station in Sonora, Mexico. There
were highly significant effects of cultivar on grain yield, and, altho
ugh cultivar x year interaction was significant, there were Few signif
icant crossover interactions between pairs of genotypes and years in t
he grain yield data set. Yield averaged across the 6 yr increased line
arly from 6680 kg ha(-1) for the earliest cultivar, Pitic 62, to 8475
kg ha(-1) for Bacanora 88, the latest. The rate of progress against ye
ar of release was 67 kg ha(-1) yr(-1) (r = 0.99, P < 0.001), or 0.88%
per year. Grain yield progress was correlated with kernel number per s
quare meter (r = 0.84, P < 0.01) and harvest index (r = 0.81, P < 0.02
), but not with total biomass production, kernel weight, days to anthe
sis, spikes per square meter, or kernels per spike. Thus linear progre
ss in yield within short germplasm has continued at least until the la
te 1980s, and the yield components studied did not indicate any clear
direction for future progress, apart from that suggested by the strong
relationships between grain yield and harvest index and grain yield a
nd kernels per square meter, as has been seen in most studies of yield
progress in cereals.