IMPACT OF ELECTRIC VEHICLES ON SELECT AIR-POLLUTANTS - A COMPREHENSIVE MODEL

The modeling methodology and sample results of a comprehensive investi gation into the impact of electric vehicles (EVs) on the Maricopa Coun ty Non-Attainment Area is given. The proposed model includes submodels of power plants using simulation techniques to produce unit commitmen t schedules. Scenario analysis was employed to address the inherent un certainty involved in modeling rapidly changing technology. Two well-a rticulated scenarios postulated EV penetration rates, performance char acteristics and load requirements. The proposed model provides estimat es of the change in pollutant levels. The pollutants examined in this research are: hydrocarbons, carbon monoxide, carbon dioxide, nitrogen dioxide, sulfur dioxide, and particulate matter under 10 microns. The value of the research described here lies in the comprehensiveness of the model and the depiction of the sensitivity of the conclusions to t he altering of the value of the model inputs.