The prediction of run-up and run-out of dry-flowing avalanches is very
important for land-use planning, design of run-out zone defenses and
construction of risk maps in avalanche terrain. In this paper, we pres
ent a numerical dynamics model to predict the stop position of the tip
of these avalanches when friction coefficients (internal and external
): initial flow depth and incoming speed are specified for known path
geometry in the run-out zone. We also compare our model to that in the
Swiss guidelines and to field examples. The results of these calculat
ions clearly define model differences and the implications of differen
t choices of friction coefficients.