Objective: To examine whether body mass index is an independent predic
tor of cataract. (Body mass index is a standardized measure defined as
weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters.) D
esign: Prospective cohort study, with 5 years of follow-up. Participan
ts: A total of 17 764 US male physicians participating in the Physicia
ns' Health Study, aged 40 to 84 years, who were free of cataract, myoc
ardial infarction, stroke, and cancer at baseline and reported complet
e information about body mass index and other cataract risk factors. M
ain Outcome Measure: Incident cataract, defined as a self-report, conf
irmed by medical record review, first diagnosed after randomization, a
ge-related in origin, and responsible for a decrease in best corrected
visual acuity to 20/30 or worse. Results: Incident cataract occurred
during follow-up in 370 participants. In proportional hazards models t
hat adjusted for potential confounding variables, body mass index had
a strong, graded relationship with risk of cataract. Relative to those
with body mass index less than 22, relative risks (95% confidence int
ervals) associated with body mass index of 22 to less than 25, 25 to l
ess than 27.8, and 27.8 or more were 1.54 (1.04 to 2.27), 1.46 (0.98 t
o 2.20), and 2.10 (1.35 to 3.25),respectively. Relative to any given l
evel of body mass index, a 2-unit higher level predicted a 12% increas
e in risk of cataract (95% confidence interval, 5% to 19%). Higher bod
y mass index was especially strongly related to risk of posterior subc
apsular and nuclear sclerotic cataracts and was also significantly rel
ated to risk of cataract extraction. Conclusions: In a prospective coh
ort study of apparently healthy men, higher body mass index, a potenti
ally modifiable risk factor, was a determinant of cataract. The leanes
t men had the lowest rates, consistent with experimental evidence that
restriction of energy intake slows development of cataract. Although
precise mechanisms are unclear, the effect of body mass index on catar
actogenesis is apparently independent of other risk factors, including
age, smoking, and diagnosed diabetes.