Je. Frederick et C. Erlick, TRENDS AND INTERANNUAL VARIATIONS IN ERYTHEMAL SUNLIGHT, 1978-1993, Photochemistry and photobiology, 62(3), 1995, pp. 476-484
Information on column ozone and the earth's reflectivity obtained from
satellite-based data allows estimates of the long-term behavior in er
ythemal irradiance at any location, including the attenuation provided
by clouds. Year-to-year changes in cloudiness over specific geographi
c regions make a major contribution to interannual variability in irra
diance at the ground. Although the general decline in column ozone amo
unts acted to increase erythemal irradiance over the period November 1
978 to April 1993, these changes tend to be obscured by the erratic va
riability associated with cloudiness. The noise introduced into a time
series of erythemal irradiance by clouds effectively widens the error
bars assigned to derived trends. This behavior could complicate attem
pts to establish links between any observed changes in the biosphere a
nd measured changes in the ozone layer.