Gyf. Ho et al., PERSISTENT GENITAL HUMAN PAPILLOMAVIRUS INFECTION AS A RISK FACTOR FOR PERSISTENT CERVICAL DYSPLASIA, Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 87(18), 1995, pp. 1365-1371
Background: Cervical dysplasia, also referred to as squamous intraepit
helial lesion (SIL) in cytology or cervical intraepithelial neoplasia
in histopathology, is thought to have the potential to advance in prog
ressive stages to cervical cancer. However, not all cases of SIL progr
ess, and most of the mild lesions spontaneously regress. Factors that
govern regression, persistence, and progression of SIL are poorly unde
rstood. Purpose: Our analysis sought to identify factors that determin
ed persistence or regression of SIL. Methods: Seventy subjects with hi
stopathologically confirmed cervical dysplasia were followed at 3-mont
h intervals for 15 months. At each visit, the cervix was evaluated by
Pap smear and colposcopy, and exfoliated cervicovaginal cells were ana
lyzed for human papillomavirus (HPV) DNA. For each subject, data from
every two consecutive visits were grouped as a pair. Persistent SIL wa
s considered present if a lesion was detected at a visit (t) as well a
s at the next visit (t + 1) and absent if a lesion was detected at vis
it t but not at visit t + 1. A statistical model for time-dependent da
ta correlated persistent SIL with various risk factors. Results: Age,
ethnicity, education, sexual behavior, smoking, and the use of oral co
ntraceptives did not correlate with persistent SIL. The risk of persis
tent SIL was associated with continual HPV infection in visits t and t
+ 1 (HPV positive by Southern blot analysis: odds ratio [OR] = 3.91,
and 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.58-9.65; HPV positive by polymera
se chain reaction [PCR]: OR = 2.42, and 95% CI = 1.03-5.67) and a pers
istent high viral load (OR = 4.07, and 95% CI = 1.35-12.30). When type
d by PCR, individuals with type-specific persistent infection in visit
s t and t + 1, and particularly those with a continual high viral load
(OR = 4.97; 95% CI = 1.45-17.02), had the highest risk for persistent
SIL compared with those with a low level of type-specific persistent
infection or non-type-specific persistent infection. The presence of p
ersistent HPV infection in visits t - 1 and t (the preceding time inte
rval) was also predictive of persistent SIL in visits t and t + 1, alt
hough the strength of association was weaker, suggesting that persiste
nt HPV and SIL occur synchronously. Conclusion: HPV infection and its
associated cervical lesions tend to occur concurrently, and type-speci
fic persistent HPV infection, particularly with a high viral load, pro
duces chronic cervical dysplasia. Implications: The natural history of
genital HPV infection directly influences the prognosis of cervical d
ysplasia as measured by persistence of the lesion. Testing for HPV inf
ection may be valuable in the clinical management of women with cervic
al dysplasia.