The potential outcomes of a Phase II schistosomiasis vaccine trial are
explored using mathematical models which assume some natural immunity
and a vaccine providing partial protection for a limited time. Analys
es suggest that vaccination may have only a limited impact on life-lon
g cumulative worm burdens and may lead to increased susceptibility and
higher worm burdens at some ages, a ''rebound'' effect which results
from reduced opportunity to acquire natural immunity. There is a trade
-off between the degree and duration of vaccine-induced protection; lo
ng-lived vaccines may be preferable to vaccines giving greater protect
ion but for a shorter time.