Objective: To determine the extent to which mood, symptoms, lung funct
ion, and social support of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary
disease (COPD) predicted their level of functioning over a 30-month p
eriod. Design: Prospective, longitudinal. Setting: The homes of patien
ts living in or adjacent to metropolitan Toronto. Subjects: Seventy-on
e patients (48 men and 23 women) with COPD who had a forced expiratory
volume in 1 second less than 50% of predicted (FEV(1) <50%) and who s
poke English. They ranged in age from 43 to 81 years (mean 66.37 years
). Outcome Measures: The patients' level of functioning at the final d
ata collection visit, 30 months after the initial measure. Instruments
: At both data collection visits patients completed measures of mood (
negative mood scales of the Profile of Mood States), symptoms (Bronchi
tis-Emphysema Symptom Checklist), social support (Personal Resource Qu
estionnaire), and functioning (Sickness Impact Profile). Results: Data
were analyzed by use of multiple regression analysis. From measures t
aken at the initial visit (Tl),the best predictors of patients' functi
oning at 30 months (T2) were their functioning at T1, symptoms, FEV(1)
, and age, Together these accounted for 70% of the variance in the fin
al functioning scores, with initial functioning scores accounting for
51% of the variance. The most prevalent symptoms were dyspnea and fati
gue, and both were highly correlated with functioning scores 30 months
later. Conclusions: In this study, symptoms, FEV(1), and age are pred
ictive of functioning in patients with COPD over a 30-month time frame
. However, only 50% of the 143 patients recruited into the study compl
eted it. Therefore caution needs to be exercised when the results are
applied to other patients with COPD.