Objective, To examine racial differences in the incidence of systemic
lupus erythematosus (SLE). Methods, A population-based registry of SLE
patients in Allegheny County, Pennsylvania, was used to identify inci
dent cases of SLE diagnosed between January 1, 1985 and December 31, 1
990, from 3 sources, by medical record review (University of Pittsburg
h Lupus Databank, rheumatologists, and hospitals), Capture-recapture m
ethods using log-linear models were used to estimate the level of case
-finding and to calculate 95% confidence intervals (CI), Incidence rat
es were calculated per 100,000 population. Results, A total of 191 def
inite and 78 probable incident cases of SLE were identified, and the o
verall annual incidence rates were 2.4 (95% CI 2,1-2,8) and 1.0 (95% C
I 0.8-1,3), respectively, The crude incidence rates of definite SLE we
re 0.4 for white males, 3.5 for white females, 0.7 for African-America
n males, and 9.2 for African-American females, The annual incidence ra
tes of definite SLE remained fairly constant over the study interval,
African-American females with definite SLE had a younger mean age at d
iagnosis compared with white females (P < 0.05), Since the overall asc
ertainment rate was high (85%; 95% CI 78-92%), the ascertainment-corre
cted incidence rate for definite SLE, 2.8 (95% CI 2.6-3.2), was simila
r to the crude rate. Conclusion, Our rates clearly confirm previous re
ports of an excess incidence of SLE among females compared with males
and among African-Americans compared with whites, We have used capture
-recapture methods to improve the accuracy of SLE incidence rates, and
we advocate their use to facilitate comparisons across studies.