M. Staat, RELIABILITY OF AN HTR-MODULE PRIMARY CIRCUIT PRESSURE BOUNDARY INFLUENCES, SENSITIVITY, AND COMPARISON WITH A PWR, Nuclear Engineering and Design, 158(2-3), 1995, pp. 333-340
The reliability of the HTR-module for electricity and steam generation
was analysed for normal operation, as well as accident conditions. Th
e probabilistic fracture mechanics assessment was performed with a mod
ification of the ZERBERUS code on the basis of widely used data. The c
alculated failure probabilities may thus be compared with similar inve
stigations. The HTR-module primary circuit pressure boundary as a unit
showed leak-before-break behaviour in a probabilistic sense, although
a break was more probable than a leak for some of its parts. However,
the findings may depend greatly on the stochastic data. Therefore a s
tochastic reference problem is defined and the results are compared wi
th the Japanese round robin on a PWR section. Possible changes of fail
ure probabilities and of the leak-before-break behaviour are discussed
for different criteria for the events leading to a leak, and for modi
fications of the stochastic reference problem such as the inclusion of
NDE. The results may be used to identify those stochastic variables w
hich have the greatest influence on the computed failure probabilities
, and to perhaps justify further work which would provide more detaile
d information on these probabilities. Furthermore, there is an obvious
need for reduction of the non-statistical reasons for great variation
s of failure probabilities.