The ability to predict the composition of communities from environment
al factors is a central goal of community ecology. We carefully select
ed a pool of species and subjected it to a range of environmental fact
ors to determine which factors were able to filter out subsets of spec
ies. We began with a pool of 20 species and sowed them into 120 wetlan
d microcosms representing 24 different habitat treatments and monitore
d them for 5 yr. The treatments were fertility, water depth, fluctuati
ons in water depth, soil texture, leaf litter, length of the initial g
rowing season, and invasion by Typha. After 5 yr 14 species persisted;
no rare species survived. The experimental communities differed from
random expectation and were assembled by rules that constrained their
organization. There were strong and consistent effects of fertility, w
ater level, and leaf litter on community composition. Community assemb
ly was modeled as a series of environmental filters. Some aspects of a
ssembly were deterministic: trajectories were constrained within two '
'pathway basins'' and species rank abundances were significantly conco
rdant within treatments. Other factors indicated that assembly has a s
trong stochastic component: 50% of species were present only occasiona
lly and we cannot accurately predict species ranks. Community stochast
icity did not show any clear patterns among treatments.